Season expectations: Real Madrid
Real Madrid is approaching the upcoming season with a well-prepared squad, combining a mix of experienced veterans and young talent that could shape the team's performance both in La Liga and the UEFA Champions League.
Overview of the previous season according to TwelveGPT:
“Real Madrid had an exceptional season in La Liga and secured an exceptionally high number of points. They excelled in chance creation, generating a large number of non-penalty shots, and had an outstanding attack with frequent entries into the final third. Their attacking transitions were excellent as they retained possession very effectively. In terms of defensive transition, they were also strong, rarely losing the ball to the opposition. However, their defense was average, with lower defensive intensity compared to other teams in the league.”
The club's strategic player acquisitions, focusing on long-term success, are crucial for maintaining their competitive edge. With stars like Vinicius Jr., Jude Bellingham, and Kylian Mbappé, Madrid’s attacking front will be one of the most strongest in Europe.
TwelveGPT:
“Real Madrid were outstanding in attack during the 2023/24 La Liga season. They dominated possession with a high pass tempo, ensuring swift movement in their build-up play while avoiding long balls. Their relentless pressure and efficiency in advancing into the final third and penetrating the penalty box resulted in an exceptionally high expected threat. They were controlling the ball most of the time, frequently dominating their opponent's final third. Opposing teams should be prepared for a high-paced game and will need to be resilient and organized defensively to handle Real Madrid's sustained attacking threats.”
However, data analysis suggests that their defensive depth could be a concern if injuries arise, particularly in the center-back position.
TwelveGPT:
“Real Madrid had an exceptional season in terms of points but were otherwise average in defence. They succeeded in reducing the opposition's expected threat but didn't stand out in terms of defensive intensity. Their opponents moved the ball quickly and executed more passes per defensive action, suggesting a lower press from Real Madrid. They compensated with strong individual defensive duels, winning a higher proportion of these battles. Teams preparing to face Real Madrid should be cautious of their strategic defending and look to exploit moments of lower defensive pressure.”
“In the 2023/24 season, Real Madrid showed some concerning defensive trends while staying average for the league. Several metrics paint a worrying picture, with a significant increase in opposition possessions reaching their final third, a decline in defensive line height and an increase in PPDA which together paint a picture of a more passive approach . Additionally, their defensive duels won % and defensive intensity have shown small recent declines, suggesting a gradual erosion in their defensive solidity.”
The club’s midfield, transitioning from the era of Luka Modrić and Toni Kroos, now hinges on the dynamism and physicality of younger players like Aurélien Tchouaméni, Eduardo Camavinga, and Bellingham. These players have shown an impressive ability to integrate both defensively and offensively, maintaining Madrid’s traditional midfield dominance. Data supports that this midfield could be critical in bridging the gap left by the departing veterans, ensuring stability across all competitions.
Tactically, Real Madrid's approach under Carlo Ancelotti might see a more fluid and adaptable system. The arrival of Mbappé adds a layer of complexity, particularly regarding his integration with existing forwards like Vinicius Jr. Both players prefer the left-wing, raising questions about the balance of the attack. Analysis indicates that while the attacking potential is enormous, it will require careful management to avoid overlapping roles, which could lead to inefficiency in the final third.
“Kylian Mbappé was a phenomenal attacking force for PSG, known for his world-class finishing and outstanding box threat. Last season, Mbappé excelled in converting chances into goals, with his goals compared to expected goals metrics standing out. His box threat is immense, consistently getting into prime goal-scoring positions. He is also brilliant at making effective runs and is an excellent dribbler who can create significant goal opportunities by carrying the ball.”
“Mbappé is an elite winger with an exceptional ability to threaten the opponent's box and create goal-scoring opportunities. His performances stand out across all box threat metrics, including goals, xG, touches in the box, penalty area receptions, and box entries, making him a constant danger to defenses.”
One key area where data analysis raises a red flag is the defensive lineup. While the forward and midfield lines are robust, the center-back position lacks depth. The reliance on players recovering from significant injuries, such as David Alaba and Éder Militão, presents a potential vulnerability. Historical data shows that Madrid’s success often correlates with a solid defensive core, and any disruption here could impact their title aspirations.
TwelveGPT:“David Alaba stood out in chance prevention and territorial dominance, excelling particularly in defensive line height and reducing opposition threat in defensive areas. Alaba also showcases exceptional intelligent defence.”
“During this season, Alaba was excellent at regaining possession in both the attacking and defensive left half-spaces, showcasing his versatility.”
“Rüdiger demonstrates impressive intelligence with his defensive play, consistently recovering the ball at a high level. While his metrics for counterpressing and interceptions are solid, his ball recovery ability really shines. Rüdiger's ability to win back the ball was top tier in the defensive central zone, making him a reliable presence in this crucial area. He was also strong in the defensive right half-space and wing.”
Off the pitch, Real Madrid's financial strategy remains strong. Despite heavy investments in new talent, the club continues to maintain a balanced budget, partly due to its success in player sales. This financial prudence allows Madrid to stay competitive even in a market dominated by Premier League spending. The club’s ability to sell players like Casemiro and Ronaldo at peak value, while investing in future stars, is a testament to its long-term vision.
Looking ahead, Real Madrid’s season will likely hinge on how well they manage their squad depth and the integration of new signings. If they can maintain defensive solidity and effectively rotate their attacking options, they could dominate both domestically and in Europe. However, the lack of depth in certain areas, especially in defense, could be their Achilles' heel, making strategic rotation and injury prevention vital .
If you have any questions about Real Madrid or any other topic write a message or an email to david.laszlo@twelve.football and let's discuss!
