Transfer analysis: Calafiori to Arsenal

This week, we kicked off a new feature in our Slack community: a weekly poll where our subscribers get to decide which topic we should dive deeper into. The first winner? Riccardo Calafiori's move to Arsenal. In this analysis, we'll break down his performances across five key aspects, using our groundbreaking tool, Twelve GPT, to provide an in-depth look at what he brings to the table for the Gunners.

"He brings a lot of versatility because he can play in two or three different positions and especially in attack, he can occupy different spaces because he’s a real defender.”

Mikel Arteta

Versatility and Tactical Flexibility

Calafiori’s versatility is a standout feature, allowing him to be deployed in multiple roles within a team's defensive structure. He can operate as a left-back, left center-back, or even step into central midfield roles during transitions. This adaptability is crucial for teams like Arsenal, which value fluid tactical systems. Data can further support this by analyzing his heat maps and positional data across matches, showing how he adjusts his positioning depending on the team's needs.

TwelveGPT:

Riccardo Calafiori has shown himself to be one of the most promising young defenders in Serie A, with outstanding defensive abilities and involvement. He excels in intelligent defence, with a high number of interceptions, and frequently winning back possession.

Ball Progression Capabilities

A critical skill highlighted for Calafiori is his ability to carry the ball forward, particularly on short to medium distances. This is essential in breaking the opposition's press and advancing play from deeper positions. His impact can be measured through metrics such as progressive carries and progressive passes, which reflect his contribution to moving the ball into more dangerous areas of the pitch. Comparing these stats with other players in similar roles can highlight his effectiveness.

TwelveGPT:

Calafiori excels at carrying the ball and generating danger through his runs compared to other central defenders. Although he is less frequent when it comes to entering the box or receiving the ball in advanced positions, his overall run quality is strong.

Defensive Proactivity

Calafiori demonstrates a proactive approach in defense, particularly with his ability to anticipate and intercept passes. His interception and tackling stats place him in the upper tier among his peers, indicating his effectiveness in disrupting opposition plays. These defensive actions are vital for a team that often plays with a high line and requires defenders who can read the game well. Metrics like interceptions per 90 minutes and successful pressures can be used to measure his defensive contribution.

TwelveGPT:

Calafiori demonstrates incredible defensive awareness and anticipation, consistently excelling in interceptions, ball recoveries, and counterpressing recoveries. His ability to read and disrupt the opposition’s play is outstanding for a central defender.

Aerial Ability

Despite some concerns about his physicality, Calafiori's aerial duel success rate is notably high, placing him in the top 7% of players in this regard. This makes him a valuable asset in both defensive and offensive set-pieces. His performance in aerial duels can be contrasted with other defenders in the league, particularly within Arsenal, where aerial dominance is crucial given the team's style of play and the physical demands of the Premier League.

Strategic Fit within Arsenal's System

Calafiori's playing style aligns well with Arsenal's current tactical approach. His experience in a system similar to Arsenal’s at Bologna means that his integration should be relatively seamless. The strategic acquisition of Calafiori reflects Arsenal's transfer policy, which focuses on finding players who fit specific tactical roles while also offering flexibility. Data on similar players and their transition into Arsenal's system could provide insights into how quickly and effectively Calafiori might adapt.

TwelveGPT:

Calafiori can match Saliba in several areas, particularly progression, defensive heading, intelligent defense, active defense, and involvement.

Join us in the Slack group to discuss it further, and let’s see what topic will capture our interest next week!


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